Nifty

#207 Nifty Update: Ab ki Baar, Nifty ko Maar

Indian Cricket stadium has always been electrifying for IPL but this time whatsapp and social media are more electrifying with youth taking interest in Election starting tomorrow. All the media apps, atleast on my phone, are flooded with Ab Ki baar, Modi sarkar one liners and Funny quotes. But on markets for next few weeks it could be dangerous slides that is why ‘Ab ki Baar, Nifty Ko Maar’. We have seen none stop electrifying run from 5933 to 6776 but now its time for some profit booking. In our last post i mentioned that 6780 is strong resistance and Nifty on Thursday resisted at 6777 which was just at the stop we mentioned. What made markets weak was bank license announcement which was just out of the box what traders expected. Two Finance company IDFC and Bandhan Finance were lucky enough to get the license. Many rejected applicants were dissappointed with the decision and why not as they were more financial sound than the approved applicants. This could bring some profit booking in the Finance space which had moved in anticipation of getting banking license. On global front, US payroll is increasing at a steady pace which could lead in cutting more stimulus as market seems to have been improving. Russia may enter recession if capital outflow continues due to political tension over Crimea. Coming back to Technicals, Nifty daily charts suggest a highly overbough markets. As we all could notice on the charts above it was in upward channel which could now be breached on Monday to give us steep downfall. It has closed below 5 day moving average for the first time in recent time to show biasness towards downside. Monday opening could hour would give a clear idea. If the opening of NIfty is below 6705 on Monday and if it even trades below that level for 5 points too than downside breached is confirmed. 
Our Recommended Strategy: We recommend traders to go short on nifty CMP: 6694 with tgts of 6586/6453/6350 SL: 6810 (closing basis)
Note: all levels are of Cash Nifty and we would recommend to book 20% profit at 6586 50% at 6453, 30% at 6350 to all are traders. Please rely on our recommendation after consulting your advisor and at your risk

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