Its already a late July and still no sign of heavy rains anywhere in India. Dark cloud cover has arrived but on Nifty and not on the cities. Nifty has dragged almost 400 points from the high last week. Railway Budget and General Budget were the two big events last week. Both were delivered in the faith of long term growth but still common man takes it hard to digest a expensive growth. IIP which was announced after the market hours on Friday which came at almost 18 months high at 4.7%. All the major events now have been declared and now markets will work on sentiments and Quarterly results. Technically market is gonna be crucial for this 15 days now. Daily chart has already weakened and we expect a 50-80 points pull back while weekly chart has also gone in the court of bears. But Monthly charts been still positive we have some hopes. 7300 is strong support on the monthly chart but if thats broken you could see some deep correction of 10%. Nifty could take support at 50 Day SMA at 7386. On our last Post we mentioned to Hold long and our 1st tgt 7688 had been achieved after which trailing SL of 7538 had hit down.
Our strategy: Wait and Watch. Short below 7300 and Go long above 7625